福禄寿 UV DAO|3月 23, 2026 12:10
Haha O(∩_∩)O, no one understands Trump better than I do. It took me less than three seconds after reading the news to realize he’s just hyping himself up again. Iran responded: no communication has taken place with the U.S. Just now, I sold all my spot positions. This round, my overall spot position had an unrealized loss of about 50%. A complete loss—I'd need a 100% gain just to break even. I’ll wait until the war ends or a black swan event happens before re-entering the market. Of course, I might have stopped out at the lowest point.
War continues → Crude oil supply constrained/risk premium surges → Oil prices keep rising → Cost-driven inflation climbs → Inflation expectations rise → Fed forced to delay rate cuts/restart rate hikes → Financial markets reprice.
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