The Kobeissi Letter|Mar 19, 2026 18:27
China is sitting on massive oil reserves:
Chinese crude oil imports surged +15.8% YoY in February, the biggest monthly jump since August 2023.
Growth rates have QUADRUPLED since the end of 2025.
After over a year of stockpiling, China has built up an estimated 1.2 billion barrels of reserves.
This includes ~851 million barrels of commercial inventory, the supply that would likely be used first.
Meanwhile, refiners could start drawing as much as 1 million barrels per day over the next 4 to 6 weeks.
In the first week of the Iran War, Beijing already ordered its biggest refiners to restrict fuel exports and prioritize gasoline and diesel production over chemicals as a precautionary move.
China is playing the long game amid the Iran War.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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