Pantera Capital|Mar 19, 2026 16:30
Sports books take 10% of every bet and ban winners.
@Novig founder and CEO @j__fort joins our Stateful podcast, hosted by @masonstrom.
In this episode, they discuss why prediction markets may replace the casino model in sports:
- Sports books kick out profitable users.
- 5% better odds on average vs. traditional platforms
- CFTC shift: sports event contracts regulated as financial products nationwide
- Be your own house: set your own odds, collect the spread
- $2T global sports market with zero dominant exchange
00:17 The $75M Bet on Sports Prediction Markets
01:08 From StubHub Algorithms to Prediction Markets
02:21 Replacing the House: Peer-to-Peer Sports Betting
03:59 Do Sportsbooks Survive?
06:14 Be Your Own House: The Market Maker Model
08:35 How Novig Makes Money Without a Vig
10:23 Why Now? The Regulatory Shift Changing Everything
11:51 The Modern Sports Bettor: More Trader Than Fan
14:58 Prediction Market Regulation: Lawsuits, CFTC & Congress
17:45 Novig vs. DraftKings, Polymarket & Robinhood
20:18 Where Prediction Markets Go From Here
22:48 Quickfire: Favorite Sport to Bet On
24:37 Founder Advice: Stay Alive & Don't Chase Trends
26:22 Hiring for Culture Over Raw Talent(Pantera Capital)
Share To
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink