Foresight News|Mar 19, 2026 12:15
[Polymarket Bet: Only 5% Probability of 'US-Israel War Ending Before March 31']
Foresight News reports that the probability of 'US-Israel war ending before March 31' on Polymarket is only 5%, a significant drop compared to the early stages of the conflict. Additionally, the probability of the conflict ending by April 30 is 35%, and by June 30 is 57%. This market has currently attracted approximately $3.7 million in trading volume.
Former President Trump previously predicted that U.S. military operations in the Middle East would last four to five weeks.
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