3.19 BitTiger Diary: The four-year cycle is not mysticism, it is a consensus verified with real gold and silver

Brothers, the market has been a bit boring lately, and most of the on chain indicators that should be shared have been broken down. Besides, they are just idle talk. Then take this opportunity to share my "faith map" from the bottom of my box again. What does an old picture from 2022 predict This four-year cycle model diagram was drawn by me when I was preparing to buy stocks at the end of 2022, and I haven't made any changes since then. At that time, based on historical cycles, it was predicted that the peak of this bull market would be around October 2025. However, I didn't expect it to happen on October 6th, 2025 as shown in the chart. It really amazed me Now it seems that the rhythm of time basically matches - it's not that I have any magical predictive ability, but that the cycle really has its inherent inevitability. Carving a boat and seeking a sword? First, clarify what the real cycle is: Many people sneer at the "four-year cycle" and say, "It's another attempt to carve a boat and seek a sword." "This old trick is already outdated. The problem is that they haven't thoroughly reviewed and understood the underlying logic behind it. The true four-year cycle is not mystical, but essentially a perfect combination of consensus, supply, liquidity, and humanity Halving mechanism: a supply shock every 4 years that cannot be changed by writing it in code Macro cycle: The Federal Reserve's policies and economic cycle are roughly following this rhythm Market consensus: When all participants act on this clock, it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy The cycle of human nature: the emotional recovery period of greed and fear, which coincides with this cycle When millions of people believe in this cycle and trillions of funds are allocated at this pace, the cycle itself is no longer "mysticism", but a part of the market structure. The "three rounds of wealth formula" for ordinary people (but with prerequisites): In theory, for ordinary people to achieve financial freedom, completing three rounds of bull and bear crossing is basically enough: First round (study period): Pay tuition fees, establish awareness, and take a small test of skills Second round (validation period): Strategy formation, execution in place, gaining confidence Third round (harvest period): Heavy warehouse attack, changing the trajectory of life But there is a huge prerequisite: you have to truly learn the rules of this game. If we haven't reached our goal after 3 rounds (12 years), we should reflect deeply: Do you always chase high at the top and fear at the bottom? Is the position management a mess? Do you always think 'this time is different'? Most people who can understand the cycle have already received the results: I have seen too many examples - those who dared to restructure their positions according to the cycle in 2019 and 2022, have basically achieved their goals this round. And those who shout 'cycle failure' and 'this time is different' every round often remain stagnant. My average price of 113K this round to escape the top is not luck, but the execution of the script planned according to the cycle model two years in advance. The next round of warehouse construction plan has already been written. Tiger Brother's core belief: Da Bing never fails anyone who takes it seriously, only those who shout 'this time is different' all year round. Rather than calling the four-year cycle mystical, it is more accurate to say that it is the simplest and most reliable consensus in this market. Respecting this consensus and following this rhythm is more effective than any short-term technique. Now I will continue to hold my position and wait for the next certainty window, without haste or impatience. Time is the biggest friend for those of us who believe in cycles. Write at the end: I don't worship any 'mysticism', but I respect the rules that have been repeatedly verified by time. In a market full of uncertainty, being able to grasp a small amount of certainty has already won 90% of people. The four-year cycle is the certainty I have grasped. Bitcoin BTC Four Year Cycle Halving Cycle Consensus Power Crosses Bull Bear Bitcoin Tiger Diary