[Analysis: Dot Plot Expected to Show One Rate Cut This Year, Awaiting Powell's Guidance] Jin10 Data, March 18 – Phil Neuhart, Head of Market and Economic Research at First Citizens Bank, stated that investors and markets will pay special attention to the median federal funds rate forecast for the end of 2026. This is difficult to determine, but we believe the median will continue to indicate only one rate cut for the remainder of this year. In addition to the Federal Open Market Committee's projections, the tone of Powell's press conference will be a key variable influencing the market, particularly how he addresses the contradiction between the recent surge in oil prices and the weakness in labor market data.