Crypto Chuanzhang|Mar 17, 2026 11:36
The current market signal is: if 76,000 just now was indeed the stage high, then it’s very likely we’ll see a prolonged sideways consolidation, measured in months—two to three months is possible.
But if it follows the previous expectation, letting shorts absorb liquidity around 80,000, the market could move much faster, with a high probability of directly breaking below 60,000.
However, in my personal judgment, regardless of the scenario, it’s very unlikely for 60,000 to serve as the bottom—the probability is only about 30%.
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