彼得兔|3月 16, 2026 03:43
BTC Market Analysis 2026.03.16
The BTC rebound from 60K has lasted for 38 days. If this is a rebound targeting the drop from 97,900 to 60K (blue segment in the chart), it must end this week and start accelerating downward. The next low point based on Gann timing is expected at the end of March or early April, so there’s not much time left for the drop.
If the following scenarios occur this week, the probability of the rebound level expanding to target the drop from 126,000 to 60K (red segment in the chart) will gradually increase:
1. Breaks through 75,600, with 4-hour and daily K-line closing above it.
2. Touches the endpoint of the first wave of the drop at 80,766.
3. Weekly K-line closes above 80K this week.
Before any of these three scenarios occur, we will not assume an expansion of the rebound level.
Regardless of whether the rebound level expands or not, after the rebound ends, we are highly likely to see a low point below 60K again.
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