[Smart Money Fail Case: APD Core Address Bottom Fishing Too Early] On-chain analysis shows that this address once executed a near-perfect swing trade on APD (historical average buy price $0.0173, distribution average price $0.0635, cashing out over $165K). However, recently, this address made a classic anchoring bias mistake. 10 days ago, as the chart showed a clear downward channel, the funds misjudged the support level and initiated a large-scale re-accumulation program against the trend. Through continuous high-frequency buying, it injected over $126.4K of liquidity into the market. But instead of reversing as expected, the chart continued to seek a bottom. As of now, the 7.28M tokens accumulated by this entity are deeply stuck. The average cost basis is around $85.78M, but the current market value has shrunk, leaving it with an unrealized loss of -$28.3K (-22.43%). Its historically high win rate ultimately became the death knell for catching a falling knife. And I decided to follow its lead! Will this be a win or a loss? Stay tuned to find out! Address in the comments section.