星球日报|Mar 13, 2026 08:45
[Polymarket 'Will Russia and Ukraine Ceasefire Before the End of March?' Trading Volume Continues to Surge, YES Probability Drops to 2%]
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that in the prediction event 'Will Russia and Ukraine ceasefire before March 31, 2026,' the probability of a ceasefire by the end of March has dropped to 2%. The 24-hour trading volume in this market is approximately $355,000, with total trading volume reaching as high as $24.726 million. The probability of this event had previously risen but has been steadily declining this month, while trading volume continues to grow. Based on current market pricing, mainstream traders still view a short-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine as a highly unlikely event. Odaily Seer will continue to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.
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