[CME 'FedWatch': 99.1% Probability of No Rate Change in March] On March 13, CME 'FedWatch' data showed a 99.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March, with a 0.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. By April, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.0%, with a cumulative 3.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut and a 0% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 19.5%.