[Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in March is 97.3%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 2.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.3%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 11.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 88.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 33.3%.