比特币橙子Trader|Mar 08, 2026 12:00
A16z just posted a very impressive judgment, he said:
AI agents are not here to swipe cards.
They are here to rewrite the payment system.
Most people are still using the "human click checkout payment" brain circuit to understand the future.
Wrong.
In the era of agents, the trading subject is not human.
It is a digital executor that can operate 24 hours a day, be replicable, and scalable.
And their payment methods——
Not like tourists.
Will be like a local.
1、 Tourist payment vs local payment
How do tourists pay?
Temporary price comparison
On site negotiation
Pay by card
one-time transaction
What do locals do?
long-term cooperation
Negotiate the price in advance
credit
Batch settlement
The core judgment of a16z is in one sentence:
Agents will establish long-term supplier relationships like enterprises.
It's not just a single card swipe.
But rather pre negotiate the terms.
2、 Why are agents more like enterprises?
Two reasons.
one ️⃣ Good experience comes from 'pre design'
You wouldn't want your travel agent to start making phone comparisons at checkout.
A truly good agent has long been agreed upon:
Who is a reliable supplier
What is the price range
When can I lock the warehouse
This is not a retail payment.
This is a B2B relationship.
two ️⃣ Scale will crush small players
Agents who book one million airline tickets per year,
The price obtained will definitely be better than ordering 10 sheets per year.
Scale enhances scale.
In the end, only a few core agents will remain in each vertical domain.
They will have:
lower cost
Stronger bargaining power
Deeper system integration
This is essentially the structure of the enterprise.
3、 Two payment relationships will exist simultaneously
The future payment structure will split into two layers:
User → Agent
subscription fee
Charge by task
authorized amount
Agent → Supplier
Pre negotiated price
Net-30 invoice
bulk discount
credit limit
The latter is the real big head.
And here's the problem——
Is a credit card suitable?
4、 Credit cards may seem perfect, but they are actually stuck
On the surface, credit cards are very compatible:
Global acceptance
Built in arbitration
Monthly Bill
But the reality is:
Not supporting micro payments
Less than 1 cent is basically not acceptable
30 cent fixed handling fee model
Technical architecture defaults to 'human approval'
What is the payment scenario for agents?
$0.001 computing power per second
API call for micro billing
High frequency cross-border small-scale settlement
The cost structure of credit cards is fundamentally mismatched.
What's even more troublesome is——
They lack the motivation to self revolutionize.
This is the typical innovator dilemma.
5、 Stablecoins are prepared for agents
The advantages of stablecoins are very intuitive:
Global availability
low cost
No minimum handling fee
programmable
The key is: programmable.
bill
arbitration
hosting
Conditional payment
credit limit
They can all be written into the same system.
You can:
Pay $0.001 in computing power per second
You can also settle a $50000 bill in one go
The same track is completed.
6、 Where is the real blue ocean of entrepreneurship?
A16z has actually named the direction.
In the future, it's not just about 'issuing a stablecoin' that will explode.
But rather, it revolves around the entire financial layer of the Agent ecosystem:
Agent specific billing system
Automatic arbitration mechanism
On chain credit score
Batch approval tool
Cross system interoperability protocol
Flow payment infrastructure
Micro working capital network
In other words——
This is a reconstruction opportunity for "Agent version Stripe+Visa+PayPal+Bank".
And it's in a completely new payment paradigm.
7、 The most crucial sentence
The payment relationship has strong path dependence.
Once the agent and the supplier
The first layer of relationship is built on stablecoins.
In the next five years, it is highly likely that it will not return to the card swiping track.
This is the real window period.
AI is not just about grabbing jobs.
It will rewrite the way money flows.
And agent payment is likely to be the most underestimated infrastructure battlefield in the next decade.
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