Dr. Jan Wüstenfeld|Mar 07, 2026 15:09
We can use the σ deviations of the power law to see where Bitcoin's price is relative to its historic trend.
Currently σ is at −0.841, roughly the 2019 bottom level.
Historically, σ deviations below −1 have marked a buy zone for Bitcoin.
One thing to note however:
This cycle we have not seen significant deviations to the upside as in the past.
So the question is:
Will this bear market be more shallow than historically in terms of drawdowns too, or are we in for similar corrections despite the lack of a significant blow-off top? In the latter case we would see deeper σ levels than before.(Dr. Jan Wüstenfeld)
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