Lao Bai
Lao Bai|3月 04, 2026 13:47
If - I mean, if your lobster can go to a prediction market and make money by opening plates, do you think this can be achieved? Today I saw the Github star of OpenClaw 250K+, which surged to the top of history in 4 weeks, making it unprecedented. But on the one hand, the explosive heat and the chaos of "door-to-door installation of lobsters" ranging from 30-5000. On the other hand, most of my friends who raise shrimp around me (including myself), shrimp is still a "toy" that spends money to burn tokens, at most used as a tool to improve efficiency. After asking around, there are basically no people who make money from shrimp. They make money by teaching courses and helping people install them I remember I tweeted a few days ago Today, seeing the acquisition and integration of Probables by PredictFun, coupled with the upcoming TGE of Opinion, I feel that this can be considered a milestone event in the PM1.0 era - the complete maturity of the CLOB prediction market characterized by "centralized operation and specific event driven". Polymarket,Kalshi,Opinion,PredictFun, Two giants and two newcomers enter the stage of resource integration through joint efforts In the PM2.0 era, it should be a category for predicting the market“ http://Pump.fun Moment "is not an evolution of 1.0, but a misalignment competition that focuses on the popularization of long tail markets and" opening rights ". As I have written before, before AI market makers mature, the optimal solution for the current long tail can only be the Bonding Curve. Last week, 42 was officially launched, and this week I mentioned that another prediction market I am currently looking at - @ rollyintern - is also going online to start making things happen. Its main theme is "Everything can be assetized, everything can be played In fact, my ideal long tail prediction market should be built directly in X, where assets can be pledged or predictions can be made when posting, and operations can be carried out directly on X, similar to the Staked Media mentioned by A16Z at the end of last year. But obviously it's unlikely to see X perform this action in at least the next two years. Prolly has created the most similar form - a post and play prediction market, which is extremely compatible with my approach. Of course, in addition to posting on X to call for Agent creation, it can also be created directly on the Prolly platform At present, it is mainly aimed at human players. I asked the team. It is estimated that in about a week, you will be able to connect to everyone's respective lobster agents, allowing them to open and bet on their own. Your lobster finally has a place to make money! The team also plans to launch a Superclaw node for individuals, similar to MiniMax's MaxLaw "one click generation of lobsters" (my local shrimp has already moved to MaxLaw), to facilitate players who do not want to tinker with lobster installation on their own I have had more than one in-depth conversation with the two founders of 42 and Prolly in the past few months, and I truly believe that if the long tail prediction market PMF is established, it should be similar in form to these two products. Looking forward to the creation of the Permissionless market for 42 and Prolly's "Lobster Edition" http://Pump.Fun ”. Predicting the market is also one of the few tracks that people find "fun" besides shrimp farming
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