[Federal Reserve Watch: Market expects a 97.4% probability of no rate cut in March, hitting a new high since inflation concerns triggered by the Iran situation] According to Golden Finance, the latest data from CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' shows that the current market expects a 97.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its March meeting, with only a 2.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. This probability of no rate cut has reached its highest level since inflation concerns were triggered by the escalation of the Iran situation.