律动BlockBeats|3月 03, 2026 13:44
[Geopolitical Conflicts Intensify, Weakening Rate Cut Expectations, Fed's March Rate Cut Probability Only 2.7%]
BlockBeats News, March 3, amid escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, concerns over rising oil prices have heightened potential inflation risks and weakened expectations for rate cuts. According to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is only 2.7%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 88%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged through April is 87.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 12.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.2%.
The next two FOMC meeting dates are March 18 and April 29.
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