金色财经|Mar 02, 2026 07:40
[Kalshi May Face Legal Action Over Settlement Issues in Iran Regime Change Prediction Market]
According to a report by Jinse Finance, Kalshi, one of the largest licensed prediction markets in the United States, may face legal action due to its settlement method for the prediction market related to the resignation of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
After Khamenei's death, most users originally expected the market to settle as 'successful.' However, Kalshi refunded all fees generated by the market and compensated traders based on the last trading price before his death.
Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour explained that as a U.S.-regulated entity, the company could not allow the market to use Khamenei's death as a settlement condition.
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