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金十数据
金十数据|2月 22, 2026 22:14
[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in March is 95.9%] Jin10 Data reported on February 23: Prior to the data release, according to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 4.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95.9%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by a total of 25 basis points by April is 16.4%, keeping rates unchanged is 83.0%, and cutting rates by a total of 50 basis points is 0.5%. By June, the probability of a total rate cut of 25 basis points is 44.0%.
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Timeline

3月 22, 19:29The market reprices the inflation shock
3月 22, 13:15The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at 3.5–3.75% this week.
3月 20, 20:00The Federal Reserve focuses on core PCE
3月 20, 16:50Bitcoin performs strongly, surpassing most assets
3月 20, 14:33Traders raise Federal Reserve rate hike bets to 50%
3月 20, 14:02The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike is 50%
3月 19, 12:40Wall Street traders no longer expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
3月 19, 12:00The Bank of England MPC votes in favor of a rate cut
3月 19, 11:55BTC has dropped more than 7% from the local high.
3月 19, 10:48Gold continues to decline, dragging down BTC.

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