Macro market analysis on February 20, 2026 Hello brothers, how should we play with the cryptocurrency market in 2026? (1) Will it continue to plummet? Is it the bottom? BTC's monthly RSI has fallen to the same level as in early 2023, And around $60000 is the key position for the previous round of institutional and whale building, which is relatively safe and a temporary bottom. If the United States hits Iran, it is expected to experience another rebound around $60000. The conclusion is that 60000 is a temporary bottom, but there may be a second dip (around 60000). (2) Recent developments in the United States and Iran At present, the Iranian defense forces have entered a comprehensive state of readiness. The United States is weighing the possibility of launching a preliminary limited military strike against Iran to force it to comply with its nuclear agreement requirements. This initial action aims to pressure Tehran to reach an agreement while avoiding a full-scale attack that could trigger large-scale retaliation. Differences still exist, but progress has been made in the negotiations compared to the previous round. If authorized, the initial attack being planned by the United States may be carried out within a few days and will target a small number of military or government facilities. Kawako said he will decide on the next steps towards Iran within 10 days. Later, he told reporters that the schedule would be finalized within about two weeks at the longest. Just look at these two weeks. (3) If the issue between Iran and the United States is resolved It is highly likely that BTC will fall to the range of $40000 to $50000 this year, and it will happen in the fourth quarter! The PCE Price Index will be released tonight at 9:30 Higher than expected, negative; conversely, positive. Summary: There aren't many opportunities in the cryptocurrency industry at the moment. If you don't believe me, ask the people around you who do contracts or buy spot goods. If the market drops to $50000 by the end of the year, there won't be any problem. At that time, start investing in BTC, ETH, SOL, and BNB. At present, switching to the precious metal track is a good choice! Analysis is only a friendly reference. Adults should take responsibility for their own decisions. Investment carries risks, so please do not take risks or impulsively think and judge independently.