Caleb Franzen|Feb 19, 2026 12:53
As an investor, I like to be pleasantly surprised.
I don't want to get my hopes up or set lofty expectations.
If all the weight of the evidence of the data points to something bad, I don't say "something bad MUST happen".
I say, "I'm going to prepare for something bad and I'll be happy to be proven wrong if/when something good happens instead, or I'll be willing to change if/when the data shows that something good is likely to happen instead."
There's a cohort of investors on this platform who have cited every single type of indicator they can possibly summon to justify a "bottom is in" call.
Investors on this platform see this "analysis" from influencers with big followings and think it must be credible... and it also reaffirms their bias/bag.
So they cling on for dear life.
They hope that it's true.
They even invest more money to "make it back".
And what has price done?
It keeps making new lows.
It keeps consolidating sideways.
It keeps chopping.
And those investors who listened to the influencers are having a really hard time, so they lash out even harder against the "opposition" on this platform.
In reality, the "opposition" is cozy.
People like me, who have a long-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin but have recognized the immediate headwinds that are currently in place, have been able to reduce exposure and begin allocating at lower prices.
We've been able to develop a plan.
We've been able to sleep better at night and actually be excited at the ability to buy more Bitcoin at these prices, while others speculate on a pump and get liquidated.
I said it on a podcast recently...
I'd rather be a samurai in a garden than a gardener on the battlefield.
That's the message that I've been sharing with investors since November 2025 when I flipped bearish on BTC, based on the data.
I told investors what would make me bearish for 9 months.
Then it happened.
And I flipped bearish, executed on my plans, and put my head down to develop even more data-backed plans to accumulate more BTC.
And that's exactly what I've been doing... stacking again.
I'm not here to be a cheerleader for my/your investments.
I'm here to be an investor and make (and keep) as much money as possible, using data to my advantage rather than feign ignorance when I don't like what the data says.(Caleb Franzen)
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