Bear cycles usually run 18–24 months So quick question Did we just start, or are we secretly halfway through? If the timer started at the ATH, we’ve survived a chunk If it started after the first bounce We’re barely warming up Everyone says “this is how cycles work” Great Show me the part of the cycle we’re in Are we in slow bleed mode or pre-capitulation silence? Because those feel very different Statistically 2 years of pain Emotionally feels like 5 already What month are we actually in? If this is early bear, I’ll be patient If this is mid bear, I’ll be cautious If this is late bear I’m loading Need someone to officially declare “Bear market began on ___.” So I can stop guessing and start surviving properly Markets don’t die in a day They fade Question is are we fading out or basing up?(Justin Wu)