[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 90.2%] According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 9.8%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 90.2%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 26.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 71.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 2.0%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 51.8%.