⏰ Daily thinking | Bottom reading? Time and space are still early Recently, many people have asked me if I can start hoarding coins now, and my answer is very clear: for long-term hoarders, it is too early to buy at the bottom, both in terms of time and space. From the perspective of time dimension: Historical pattern: The true bottom of a bear market usually occurs 12-18 months after the top Current progress: Only 4 months have passed since the high point in December last year, and the script is still in midfield From a spatial perspective: The iron law of history: 2015-86% 2018-84% 2022-77% Current status: Only retreated -47% from ATH, far from reaching the despair zone From the perspective of chip structure: A large number of profitable chips have not yet experienced true panic selling, and the market is still in the stage of "technical analysis" rather than "skepticism about life". As someone who has been bottom fishing for 22 years and successfully escaped to the top with 113K this year, my strategy is still clear: continue to wait for the moment in Q4 of 2026 that will make everyone despair. The most correct posture now is to save cash and practice concentration. The real opportunity belongs to those who are afraid when others are greedy and greedy when others are afraid. And now, the market is far from the time of fear. Patience is the rarest and most valuable quality for hoarders. BTC hoarding strategy, bear market cycle, professional trader