mignolet
mignolet|2月 11, 2026 06:16
내부에 화살이 오지 않기 위해서는 결국 정답은 하나입니다. "외부의 적에 좌표를 찍고 이목을 돌리는 것" When Bitcoin broke below the $100K range, it had already entered a stage where responding properly was no longer easy. After that, in the $80K–$90K range, people said, “This whole move is just a trap before a bigger rally. It’s meant to shake out retail investors.” What does that really mean? It means: just hold. But if that was the message, then at the very least, there should have been guidance on what to do if the market moved in the opposite direction. That part was missing. Once the situation becomes difficult to manage, there is very little that can be done. In reality, there were several chances to step back, reassess, and correct the position. But when decisions are delayed again and again, eventually you reach a point where it can no longer be reversed. Some people are willing to admit mistakes publicly, even if they face criticism. Most are not. Even now, it is natural that more people want the market to go up rather than down. But then the question becomes: what can actually be done in the current situation? If the answer is already fixed, then data is no longer necessary. At that point, data is not used for analysis, but to justify an existing position. 내부에 화살이 오지 않기 위해서는 결국 정답은 하나입니다. "외부의 적에 좌표를 찍고 이목을 돌리는 것" For now, that approach still works. People do not want to hear bearish views. No matter how logical the explanation is, they simply do not want to accept it. Eventually, there must be a moment when people realize that this approach was flawed. But in my view, that stage has not arrived yet.(mignolet)
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