[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 80.4%] Jin10 Data reported on February 11: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 19.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 80.4%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 36%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 58.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.3%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 49.3%.