Crypto-常山赵子龙
Crypto-常山赵子龙|Feb 05, 2026 12:25
BTC ETH Everyone is very anxious about the current market downturn. Let me share my opinion for your reference: The difficulty of reaching the top or bottom of the first wave after the end of the oscillation trend is the greatest. If it can be reached, it will definitely be comfortable and the sense of achievement will be very high. However, it is highly likely to fail several times to reach the top or bottom of the first wave at the end of the trend; Secondly, based on my experience in trading on the left side, looking at the cryptocurrency market alone, I believe it is almost at the end. There may still be a last wave of sharp decline, but it will not fall too much, probably between 65-68, and then quickly rebound, eventually forming a volatile range between 65-78; What is uncertain is the trend of the US stock market. The US stock market is still consolidating at a high level, and the rise and fall of the cryptocurrency market usually precedes that of the US stock market. If the US stock market falls below the consolidation range next, the cryptocurrency market will definitely not be doing well, but it should start to resist the decline of the US stock market. Then it will follow the small steps of the US stock market and continue to decline for a period of time until the US stock market falls to a certain level. At this time, the big pie may reach around 58, and then the cryptocurrency market will rebound first, eventually forming another oscillation range between 58-75; That is to say, the bottom of the next oscillation range is still uncertain, but the high probability is around 75. If the US stock market falls below the consolidation range and accelerates its decline, the bottom of the pie will be around 58. If the US stock market does not weaken, the bottom of the pie will be around 65;
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