大宇|Feb 03, 2026 08:33
On HYPE Overvaluation and Undervaluation
Short-term overvaluation: HIP-4 working on prediction markets is a strategic move, but even if it beats Polymarket, the trading volume and revenue it brings account for a very small proportion of current perpetuals, less than 10%.
The current rise is heavily driven by FOMO and sentiment.
Long-term undervaluation: The formation of on-chain Wall Street, with contracts, spot trading, prediction markets, and lending—all on-chain and fully integrated.
The future overlord's biggest challenge will come from regulation.
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