KALSHI PREDICTION MARKET PROVES ACCURATE ON FED POLICY A new study finds Kalshi, the trading platform known for bets on sports and elections, is also a strong predictor of Fed decisions and economic data. Its forecasts often match or beat professional economists, even during surprise rate moves, and accurately anticipate CPI and unemployment figures. By aggregating real-time trades, Kalshi captures a “wisdom of the crowd” effect, offering a full range of probabilities rather than single estimates, making it a potentially valuable tool for market participants.(*Walter Bloomberg)