金色财经|Jan 26, 2026 03:39
[Polymarket: Probability of BlackRock Executive Succeeding as Fed Chair Nears 50%]
According to Polymarket data, reported by Jinse Finance, the implied probability of BlackRock's Global Fixed Income Chief Investment Officer Rieder succeeding as the next Federal Reserve Chair stands at 47%. This is higher than former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's 28%, current Fed Governor Christopher Waller's 9%, and White House National Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett's 8%.
The total trading volume for this event has exceeded $250 million. Charts show that Rieder's pricing curve accelerated in January, surpassing competitor Kevin Warsh on January 23.
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