[The probability of a U.S. government shutdown this month on Polymarket once surged to 80%] According to Foresight News, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown this month on Polymarket began to rise from less than 10% at midnight Beijing time today, surging all the way to a peak of 80%. The market's trading volume has exceeded $4.66 million. On the news front, U.S. Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer stated that unless Republicans agree to remove the related funding for the Department of Homeland Security, they will block the passage of a large-scale appropriations bill next week. The U.S. House of Representatives passed the bill on Thursday, after which lawmakers left Washington and will not return until after the January 30 government shutdown deadline. Any amendments to the bill, including the removal of the related funding for the Department of Homeland Security, would require House members to return and vote on the new bill.