[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in January is 95%] Jin10 News, January 19: According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95%. By March, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 20.7%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 78.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.9%.