[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in January is 95%] Odaily Planet Daily News: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 26%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 72.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.2%.