[The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged in January is 95%] Jin10 Data reported on January 13: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January is 5.0%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 95.0%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 26.0%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 72.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.2%.