子棋(重生版)
子棋(重生版)|Jan 11, 2026 13:38
Weekend saw narrow-range fluctuations, minimal volatility, and a gradual lift in the bottom. A new week is about to bring a breakout! Looking at the 4H chart, the price is currently oscillating around 90k, with repeated dips followed by small bullish rebounds. The lower channel boundary and psychological level are providing support. Around 88k-90k, the price is being propped up. Bollinger Bands are narrowing, volatility is low, and a breakout could happen anytime. Technical analysis: - RSI neutral at 45-50, moving out of oversold territory, initial signs of rebound momentum but not strong yet. - MACD negative values narrowing, fast and slow lines nearing a golden cross, momentum exhaustion showing reversal signs. - Fibonacci retracement: 38.2% ≈ 100k (resistance), 50% ≈ 95k, 61.8% ≈ 90k (current strong support). Next week’s outlook: - Most likely (65%): Gradual upward movement, holding 90k to stabilize before rebounding to test 93k-95k (mid-channel + near MA20). If volume supports, space could open up to 98k. - Optimistic (20%): Nasdaq leads with strong gains + sudden inflow of funds, quickly breaking through 95k, forming a W-bottom, and heading straight for the 100k psychological level. - Pessimistic (15%): Losing 90k, short-term bearish drop to 88k (Fibonacci 50% + MA50 overlap), extreme dip to 85k (channel extension + liquidity cluster). However, the 200-day MA at 80k provides a solid bottom, unlikely to collapse easily. Key support and resistance levels: - Major support: $90k (channel lower boundary + psychological level, near current price, low probability of breaking). - Secondary support: $88k (multiple overlaps, short-term stop-loss zone). - Strong support: $85k (extreme pullback target, institutional buying zone). - Resistance: $93k (short-term pressure) → $95k (previous high + MA20) → $98k-$100k (psychological + Fibonacci). Trading strategy: If price stabilizes near $90k after a pullback, consider entering long positions in batches, set stop-loss at $88k, and aim for $93k-$95k. If it breaks down, stop-loss and wait for a better entry opportunity! Overall, we’re still in a bottom consolidation phase, with the bottom gradually lifting. Don’t FOMO, don’t panic—stay patient and wait for signals. A big move is bound to happen in the first half of the year!
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