Two major events determine the subsequent market trend There are two major events in the past few days. After these two things land, the rebound will be stronger, and then continue to decline. All rebounds in bear markets are for just the right drop! In theory, there is a higher possibility of expected positive outcomes. (1) The non farm payroll data for December in the United States will be released tonight at 21:30, with a higher than expected negative and a lower than expected positive. The probability is now half and half (2) Today or tomorrow, the US Supreme Court will make a ruling on the legality of Kawako's tariffs. If the ruling is unconstitutional, it will trigger over $100 billion in import tax refunds, bringing new funds to the market. At the same time, tariffs will be reduced, inflationary pressures and business costs are expected to ease, and the deficit may also expand. The Federal Reserve can only continue to print money, which is beneficial for BTC and gold. There is a 60% probability that the ruling may bring benefits. Suggest short selling on dips in the short term, rebounding to around 98000 and starting to short in batches at low multiples!