qinbafrank
qinbafrank|Jan 08, 2026 23:29
Polymarket has become the exclusive prediction market partner of Dow Jones and The Wall Street Journal. Event contract data is increasingly becoming one of the key data sources in financial markets. Back in August last year, when Intercontinental Exchange invested in Polymarket, there was talk about how future prediction market data could serve as real-time market sentiment indicators for mainstream capital market investors—and now it's becoming a reality. This is increasingly likely to change the chain of information dissemination and the logic of content: 1) The traditional content logic was: event happens → a few people know → report (publish) → the public knows 2) Prediction markets bring a new path: event happens → someone knows → someone bets → prices start to deviate → the world already "knows in advance" 3) There's even a more extreme path: event happens → someone knows → someone bets → prices start to deviate → the event itself changes
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