The Kobeissi Letter|Jan 08, 2026 01:14
This is unprecedented:
The New York Fed’s corporate bond market high-yield distress index is down to 0.06 points, an all-time low.
This index measures stress levels in the junk bond market, including liquidity, market functionality, and how easily companies can borrow.
A reading this low signals extremely healthy borrowing conditions for high-yield issuers.
By comparison, the index was above 0.60 during the 2020 pandemic and near 0.80 during the 2008 Financial Crisis.
As a result, the high-yield corporate bond ETF, HYG, has rallied for its 3rd-consecutive year and returned +9% in 2025.
The US corporate bond market is healthier than ever.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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