北冥BTC(卦)|1月 05, 2026 02:18
The Secret to Macroeconomics in 2026
I don't like politics, but I enjoy studying macroeconomics because 26 years will be the year when BTC trends and macro factors have the most profound impact. The underlying logic of BTC and whether Satoshi Nakamoto's vision can be realized directly affect the 70% of long-term chip holders who are believers and also the backbone of BTC, facing a year of choice
Looking back at December, I wrote that 'our world is being pushed towards a historic upheaval by five major factors: debt cycles, internal chaos, geopolitical conflicts, great power games, and technological revolutions, each of which is accelerating currency depreciation'. With Maduro's arrest, Trump immediately announced the takeover of Venezuela's oil resources, and all instability factors began to accelerate. The regime is easily overthrown, hegemony is exposed, international rules are easily torn apart, and civilization is beginning to turn towards the jungle. Excuse me, is the economic model in peacetime still viable?
The United States has become a country that resorts to any means necessary to achieve its goals. Does the Federal Reserve still have fairness? Do the US dollar and US bonds still have their original authority and fairness? If 25 years is an economic war, then 26 years is about to start a camp war, and later it may evolve into a hot war. I am not creating anxiety. Europe, the United States, Asia, and the Middle East are constantly experiencing escalating conflicts. Resource plundering has already begun by beheading sovereign leaders. Even the mad dog Japan has begun to remain silent on the United States' actions. I can tell you clearly that all countries will enter a state of readiness in 26 years.
I am writing these macro data to tell you that inflation, employment, and other data are no longer authoritative in 26 years. The proliferation and depreciation of currencies are inevitable, and global assets will continue to hit historic highs. Every step forward in precious metals, stock markets, and bond markets requires more currency to support them until they can no longer move, either a war or technological breakthroughs, there is no other choice.
So don't believe that data, interest rate cuts, and other factors are not the primary reference factors anymore, because during the preparation period, the currency will definitely depreciate significantly. Whether BTC has currency, safe haven, and fairness, in this test, it will either explode or die, and 70% of long-term chips will either become more firm or fall apart
It should not be surprising to see this rise after reading articles and market analysis. As I have said, the macro level of the entire financial market in 25 years is like throwing a stone onto a calm lake. Funds begin to spread from the inside out, gradually extending from US stocks, US bonds, precious metals, etc. to cryptocurrency assets, which has already led everyone to buy at the bottom of spot prices. Global assets are expected to reach high levels in this cycle. Please wake up early and understand your situation in this confrontation. Seize the opportunity in the crisis and stay away from danger.
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