飞凡|Jan 04, 2026 04:08
Thought carefully about safe-haven assets.
The safe-haven asset that most ordinary people need might not actually be BTC.
In fact, based on most people's understanding of safe-haven assets, there are probably four key attributes:
- Tied to most liabilities and collateral, usable for settlements
- Easily liquidated
- Can be used as collateral
- Provides risk-free returns
It seems like the only thing that meets these four criteria is the US dollar. On the other hand, BTC is actually a safe-haven asset *against* the US dollar—specifically, a hedge against fiat currency credit collapse and inflation caused by monetary easing.
If we remain in a state of controlled inflation, avoid monetary easing, and maintain stable fiat currency credit, BTC's safe-haven narrative is hard to push to the forefront. Instead, it’s more likely to be positioned as a scarce asset for allocation.
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