[Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Interest Rates Unchanged in January Next Year Reaches 83.9%] According to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 16.1%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.9%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 45.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 47.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 6.9%.