Hanzo ㊗️
Hanzo ㊗️|12月 23, 2025 18:33
🚨SOMETHING HUGE HAPPENS THIS WEEK $23.6B in Bitcoin options expire this Friday. Largest roll in Bitcoin's history. Not even close to previous records. > 2021 saw around $6B. > 2022 dropped to $2.4B. > 2023 climbed back to $11B. > Last year hit $19.8B. > Now we're at $23.6B rolling off in a single session. This isn't retail gamma. This is institutional-scale positioning getting unwound all at once. Here's what actually happens during options expiry. Calls are bets that the price goes higher, puts are bets that it goes lower. When contracts expire, they either settle worthless or they force real buying and selling in the spot market to hedge exposure. When this much notional value rolls off simultaneously, dealers who've been hedging these positions suddenly don't need those hedges anymore. They unwind them fast. That's where the volatility comes from. The timing makes it worse. Holiday week means liquidity is already thin. Fewer participants, lower volume, so every order has more price impact than usual. You can get violent moves with zero fundamental news simply because the market structure is adjusting. A lot of the open interest is clustered around major psychological price levels. After expiry, that clustering just disappears. The support and resistance that looked solid going into Friday might evaporate immediately after. That's why markets often chop sideways into expiry and then make a clean directional move right after. The overhang clears, hedges come off, and price finds its natural level without all that manufactured structure. Friday isn't just another expiry date. It's the kind of event that sets up real volatility regardless of which direction the price breaks. What you need to watch isn't the move into expiry. It's what happens in the hours and days after, when the market reprices without that massive options overhang distorting flows. Low liquidity plus the biggest options roll Bitcoin has ever seen. That's the setup. Price action after matters more than price action during.(Hanzo ㊗️)
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