飞龙财经|Dec 18, 2025 05:11
Macro market analysis on December 18, 2025
Good afternoon, brothers. Some brothers asked why it went up and down yesterday. In fact, yesterday's analysis provided a conclusion in advance: the closer the CPI data is released and Japan raises interest rates, the greater the market panic will be.
It may fall below $85000. The release of CPI tonight at 21:30 and the announcement of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan tomorrow may not necessarily be better in the short term, it depends on the CPI data.
If the CPI is lower than expected, it is conducive to interest rate cuts. But it doesn't mean there will be a reversal, the weekly trend is still bearish.
After more than 10 years of unrestrained money printing, the Federal Reserve has fallen into an inescapable cycle: interest rate cuts will ignite hyperinflation, while maintaining high interest rates may lead to deflation collapse.
As we mentioned before, Kawako is preparing for the midterm elections in November next year, so she will find ways to lower prices and interest rates. This is an inevitable trend.
In addition, the BTC trading between the ancient whale and institutions has reached a level of nearly 70%.
In the long run, the price of BTC is still appropriate. In a volatile market, buying down instead of buying up is not a problem. It is recommended to invest regularly and buy at the bottom every day.
Today, stable, MON, Bera and other counterfeit chains have all experienced a sharp decline. The narrative of public chains can no longer be described, and the competition is too fierce. There are hundreds of public chains, but not even 100 users. The world does not need so many public chains. ETH, BNB chains, and SOL are enough, so most counterfeit chains tend to go to zero.
It is recommended to mainly hold BTC to avoid panic affecting bottom cutting, while leaving some bullets, so that you can also buy at the bottom when the black swan arrives. The best time to enter the market is when there is a complete panic in the market.
Analysis is only a friendly reference. Adults should take responsibility for their own decisions. Investment carries risks, so please do not take risks or impulsively think and judge independently!
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