defioasis.eth|12月 16, 2025 13:05
Behind the halo, there's also the inevitable struggle of competition. BSC has added two more Prediction Markets to share the pie.
Predict Fun had a run on Blast in the second half of 2024, with daily trading volume peaking at over $3 million. Now resurrected on BSC, though currently only accessible via API for trading services, it has been seeing daily trading volumes of around $400K-$500K in recent days.
Probable is backed by PancakeSwap's direct involvement in incubation. PancakeSwap's exploration of Prediction Markets can be traced back to 2024, when it launched a small-scale prediction market for BNB/BTC/ETH prices last September, maintaining daily trading volumes of roughly $500K-$800K.
The competitive landscape of Prediction Markets is increasingly resembling that of Perp DEX, with numerous platforms using incentive-based vampire attacks to snatch users and trading volume. Build a new casino or a new media platform? It seems the former is still the quicker path to monetization.
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