*Walter Bloomberg|Dec 11, 2025 14:16
IS THERE AN AI BUBBLE? DEUTSCHE BANK SAYS YES — BUT MULTIPLE, AND STILL EARLY
Deutsche Bank’s central 2026 question: Is AI in a bubble?
The bank argues any bubble remains in its early stage, similar to dot-com after Greenspan’s 1996 warning, with years of gains still possible.
Today features two distinct bubbles:
🔸 Cash-rich Big Tech funding AI capex from profits.
🔸 Unprofitable frontier firms (mostly private) burning cash.
Current signals are green: range-bound earnings-driven valuations, cashflow-funded investment, scaling tech with falling costs.
Red flags to watch: circular financing, debt-fueled capex, tech hurdles, politics, supply constraints.
Conclusion: Reports of a single bursting bubble are exaggerated — for now.(*Walter Bloomberg)
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