律动BlockBeats|Dec 09, 2025 04:37
Pentagon's' Pizza Index 'reactivates, suspicious insider enters US Venezuela conflict related trading positions
BlockBeats News: On December 9th, according to PolyBeats monitoring, the assumption of the Pentagon Pizza Index, which is considered a "barometer" of US military operations, is that when the Pentagon's high-level command center or operations room is dealing with major, sudden international crises or military deployments, staff need to work long hours of overtime. When staff work overtime until late at night, they usually order a large quantity of pizza to make dinner.
Starting from the evening of December 6th, the index was reactivated and lasted for several hours. However, the probability of predicting a drug ship crackdown on December 12th/31st did not show a significant change, and no suspected insider traders were found to have entered the market. But there seems to be something fishy about other related predicted trends. In the market "Will the United States have military contact with Venezuela before December 31st?", two traders with extremely suspicious profiles are conducting aggressive centralized betting in the market.
The first one is Methebests: 12 hours ago, he successively recharged $6000 to his account and used it as the first and only transaction on the platform, buying 20389 copies of "Yes" at an average price of 30 ¢.
The second one is smaugvision, whose operation is more radical. 19 hours ago, he recharged over $40000 and simultaneously purchased "Yes" shares from three time points on December 9th, 15th, and 31st, with a total opening of over $20000. In addition, he also invested over $8000 in two other related trading positions: "Will the US military enter Venezuela before December 31?" and "Will the US invade Venezuela before December 31?" Both traders used fiat currency deposits that did not conform to the habits of on chain traders, and invested the vast majority of their funds in military positions related to Venezuela. Their trading behavior was highly concentrated and their goals were clear.
At present, the probability of the above positions is less than 30%.
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