BTC keeps fluctuating, so I seriously asked @wardenprotocol's smart tool Messari Deep Research. Question: When can BTC get back above $100K? Answer: See the chart below. Well, gotta say, this is a bit tough for @wardenprotocol AI. Messari Deep Research also mentioned that it depends on upcoming macro and policy developments. Here’s my personal take: I feel like the chances this month aren’t that great. It mainly depends on the 12/11 FOMC meeting. Right now, CME predicts an 87% chance of a rate cut in December, which seems pretty much priced in. The key is how Powell speaks at that time—whether he can drop some relatively dovish comments, especially regarding rate cuts in 2026. After the FOMC meeting, we’ll get November’s labor and inflation data. Fingers crossed it looks good, but there’s no forecast yet. Around 12/18, Japan’s decision on whether to raise rates will also impact the market. Honestly, we’ll only get a clearer picture in January next year. It’ll depend on whether macro data supports a January rate cut expectation, plus any crypto-friendly policies. We’ll see then. For now, just hang in there. Chill and enjoy the holidays.