律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|12月 05, 2025 09:41
[Two Suspected Insider Addresses Bet on 'OpenAI Releasing a New Model on December 13,' Majority of Historical Profits Stem from OpenAI-Related Predictions] BlockBeats News, December 5: According to PolyBeats, the entry 'Will OpenAI release a new cutting-edge model before December 13?' was created 5 hours ago. As of the time of publication, its probability has surged from 45% to 91%. The establishment of this market is based on widespread rumors surrounding OpenAI's internal 'Code Red' memo on December 2. Reports indicate that CEO Sam Altman, in response to the challenge posed by Google Gemini 3, instructed the team internally to 'delay advertisements and release the reasoning model next week' (i.e., between December 8 and December 12). Internal assessments suggest that the performance of this new reasoning model will 'outperform Gemini 3.' Although OpenAI has remained silent on the matter, competitive pressure and rumors of delayed advertisements have led the market to widely speculate that a new cutting-edge model (such as the GPT-5 series or reasoning model) is imminent, targeting the December 13 deadline. This report focuses on two traders who are currently ranked as the top two holders of 'Yes' shares: Trader 0xLuck currently holds 2,496 'Yes' shares at an average price of 88c. Out of 25 trades, only one resulted in a loss, with historical profits nearing $45,000, over half of which stemmed from OpenAI-related positions. Trader lamps currently holds 1,973 'Yes' shares at an average price of 35c. Of their historical profits totaling $73,000, 84% originated from OpenAI-related positions.
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