The Kobeissi Letter|Dec 04, 2025 20:47
The US Dollar is still sitting near historic extremes:
The US Fed Trade Weighted Real Broad Dollar Index is trading near its highest level in 40 years.
The index measures the inflation-adjusted value of the Dollar against 26 currencies based on relative competitiveness with trading partners.
The Inflation-Adjusted Broad Dollar Index is now ~20% above its long-term average.
In the past, such elevated valuations have been seen only in the 1930s and the 1980s.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which comprises 6 major currencies, has declined -8.4% year-to-date, on track for its worst annual performance since 2017.
Historic trade-adjusted Dollar overvaluation persists.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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