If BTC crashes completely in three months, is that possible? In a bear market, BTC only pulls back 36%? That doesn’t seem likely either. History tells us: a real bear market doesn’t end gently! If the cycle holds, BTC will most likely drop below 60k, and the downward trend usually drags on for a full 12 months—slow, grinding, relentless, and soul-crushing. Get ready. The bull market is a reward, the bear market is the trial.